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Benfica Nacional betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The Benfica team will try to enter strong in the match and have a good performance, not least because they will have the opportunity to put pressure on FC Porto and Sporting, who only play later. Still, we foresee a match where, despite the opportunities they always create, the “eagles” may experience problems in the defensive sector, where they are without any of the most used players (all in isolation). In addition, Nacional has already shown its capacity to reach the last third of the field with danger, through a collective dynamic well worked out by Luís Freire.
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Preview
Benfica and Nacional face at Estádio do Sport Lisboa and Benfica (da Luz), in a match for the 15th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 3. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 10‑02‑2019, Benfica won by (10‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Benfica

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 32 points won, after 10 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Tondela, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Porto, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 37 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got an away loss against Sporting Braga by (2‑1). In the last 7 home league matches Benfica has a record of 6 wins and 1 loss, so they have won 18 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 42 of the last 59 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times, but have turned the score around in 2. In the last 13 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 11 of their 31 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

The Benfica team comes to this match trying to remain firm in the pursuit of Sporting's leadership, in a moment in which they occupy the 3rd place in the leaderboard of Liga NOS, with 32 points, the same as FC Porto and four behind the leader. Last Wednesday, the team coached by Jorge Jesus failed to advance to the League Cup final, ending up defeated (2-1) in the clash with Braga. This was the result of a draw against FC Porto (1-1), in the last round of the championship, which left everything the same in the top tier of the leaderboard. At the moment, the red team has several casualties in the squad (with emphasis on the defense), due to an outbreak of covid-19 that has triggered in their squad.

Confirmed Lineup: Mile Svilar, Jardel, Francisco Ferreira, João Ferreira, Pizzi, Julian Weigl, Franco Cervi, Chiquinho, Rafa Silva, Haris Seferović, Darwin Nuñez.
Coach: R. Schmidt.

Analysis Nacional

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Moreirense, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Vitória Guimarães, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Nacional has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 6 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

The Nacional da Madeira team returned this season to the top echelon of Portuguese football, with the ambition to stay there. At the start of the 15th round, the team led by coach Luís Freire occupies the 14th place in the leaderboard, with 13 points, like Gil Vicente, just one above the relegation zone. Last Thursday, in a match overdue for the 12th round, the Madeiran side had their fourth consecutive defeat, after visiting Vitória de Guimarães (3-1). This in a match where Gorre (16’) even scored for the Nacional team early, with the draw coming almost immediately (22’) and the turnaround was allowed in the second half (51 ’and 61’).

Confirmed Lineup: Daniel, Rui Correia, Pedrão, Kalindi, Witi, Vincent Koziello, Vincent Thill, Francisco Ramos, Nuno Borges, Kenji Gorre, Bryan Rochez.
Coach: F. Nunes Cândido.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Benfica vs Nacional match, on 25 January 2021, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Benfica vs Nacional on 25 January 2021 will be played at Lisboa, Estádio do Sport Lisboa and Benfica.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Benfica Nacional match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Benfica at with 86% of the tips.

 

Primeira Liga - 2020/2021

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 41.5%
  • Draws 25.16%
  • Away team wins 33.33%
  • Over 1.5 71.57%
  • Over 2.5 44.12%
  • Over 3.5 20.59%
  • Goals 739
  • Goals /match 2.42
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 45.42%
  • Goals after 80' 17.46%
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