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Corinthians Grêmio betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of few goals. Both teams have strong defenses, especially in situations similar to Saturday's game. Corinthians have not conceded more than 1 goal in any of the last 8 home games for all competitions and did not concede a single goal in 4 of them. Grêmio, in turn, conceded no more than 1 goal in any of the last 12 away games and did not concede goal in 8 of them. In view of these factors, we believe in an aggressive pressing match, few opportunities created and at most 2 goals on the scoreboard.
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Preview
Corinthians and Grêmio meet at Arena Corinthians, in a match for the 4th round of the Serie A. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 3 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 18‑08‑2018, in a match for the Serie A, Grêmio won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by Everton (55' ). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Corinthians presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Corinthians

After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is in the 11th position, havinf won 4 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Vasco da Gama by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against Chapecoense. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Corinthians has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 27 of the last 37 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 15 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Corinthians have been presenting uneven football in this beginning of Serie A and come to this fourth round in search of another home victory to reach the top half of the standings. The hosts are characterized by prioritizing the defensive sector, being a team that leave few spaces behind, but because of this, end up having low offensive volume, being a team that create few opportunities, needing to find a better balance between the 2 sectors. 
Playing at home like this Saturday's match, Corinthians are usually strong, having lost only 1 of the last 11 games played for all competitions, have won 4 of the last 5 matches and have not conceded more than 1 goal in any of the last eight games, in 4 of them, did not conceded a single goal, evidencing again their defensive strength, especially next to their fans. 
For the game against Grêmio, coach Fabio Carille will not be able to count on his top scorer Gustavo due to injury and should repeat the last round's lineup.

Confirmed Lineup: Cássio, Danilo Avelar, Henrique, Fagner, Manoel, Ramiro, Ralf, Junior Sornoza, Mateus Vital, Mauro Boselli, Clayson.
Coach: F. Lázaro.

Analysis Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 1 point won, after 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Avaí, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Fluminense, by (4‑5). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 7 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa Libertadores, they got a home win against Universidad Católica by (2‑0). In the last 10 away matches Grêmio has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches.

Grêmio have been campaigning well below expectations at the start of this Serie A, having won only 1 of the 9 points they played and are looking for a recovery, as they have a squad of enormous quality that has total conditions to fight for the title. The team have one of the best defensive sectors in Brazil, but have presented low yield behind, being the team that suffered most goals after 3 rounds, with 8 goals conceded - having suffered incredible 5 goals only in the last round - but their attack is the more positive, with 6 goals scored so far and certainly their defense will rise in yield by the great quality of their defenses. 
Considering the away games, as this one of this Saturday, Grêmio have been somewhat irregular, but have great defensive solidity, so much that have not suffered more than 1 goal in none of the 12 games they played in this condition for all the competitions in 2019, being that they did not concede a single goal in 8 of these games, being a team that leave very few spaces in this type of situation. 
For the match against Corinthians, coach Renato Gaucho will not be able to count on striker Diego Tardelli because of an injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Paulo Victor, Léo Gomes, Walter Kannemann, Juninho Capixaba, Pedro Geromel, Matheuzinho, Walter Montoya, Michel, André, Everton, Luan.
Coach: V. Carmo Mancini.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Corinthians vs Grêmio match, on 11 May 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Corinthians vs Grêmio on 11 May 2019 will be played at Recife, Itaipava Arena Pernambuco.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Corinthians Grêmio match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Corinthians at with 45% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2019

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.42%
  • Draws 25.79%
  • Away team wins 25.79%
  • Over 1.5 66.05%
  • Over 2.5 40.79%
  • Over 3.5 18.16%
  • Goals 876
  • Goals /match 2.31
  • Goals /match home 1.38
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 46.84%
  • Goals after 80' 20.66%
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