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San Lorenzo Quilmes betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be somewhat unbalanced, considering that the principal fights for the first places in the Argentine Championship and has a cast of good quality, while the Quilmes struggles to leave the bottom half of the qualifying table and has a cast only medium that finds it difficult to score regularly. In addition, the San Lorenzo has a deadly attack that scores goals with ease, while the Quilmes presents serious problems both in their offensive system that score few goals, and in the defensive system that suffers goals regularly. In view of these factors, we believe that San Lorenzo will win the field command and the cast will be much higher to win the 3 points and thus continue in the search for the Boca Juniors leader.
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Preview
San Lorenzo and Quilmes face at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in a match for the 17th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 6 matches they won 4 and lost 2. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 20‑03‑2016, and ended in a (3‑0) win by Quilmes. Quilmes registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis San Lorenzo

After 8 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, havinf won 28 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Lanús by (2‑2), after in the previous match they have won (3‑2) at home, against Unión Santa Fe. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home loss against Gimnasia La Plata by (0‑1). For the league, San Lorenzo won 13 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 7 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 25 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

San Lorenzo has had great performance in the Argentine Championship and is among the first placed with 65% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that it is 3 points behind the leader Boca Juniors, so it is very important a victory in the next game for not let the first place open even greater advantage. The team scored 29 goals, being the second best attack among the 30 national teams, and conceded 21 goals, being the fifth most leaked defender and these figures demonstrate the great imbalance between the offensive and defensive sectors, being necessary to adjust in defense for suffer less goals, since the attack has behaved efficiently. Playing at home, as the match they will play this Saturday, San Lorenzo has 67% and averages of 1.88 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded, demonstrating that it is a difficult team to be beaten as principal, but there is still room for improvement. In the overall competition, counting the games at home and away, the team tends to be more efficient offensively in the first half, since 16 of their 29 goals took place in the first stage, mainly between 0 and 15 minutes where they had 6 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Sebastian Torrico, Marcos Angeleri, Fabricio Coloccini, Gabriel Rojas, Franco Mussis, Fernando Belluschi, Bautista Merlini, Ruben Botta, Marcos Nicolás Machado, Ezequiel Cerutti, Nicolás Blandi.

Analysis Quilmes

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Atlético Tucumán, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Temperley, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 7 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home loss against Argentinos Juniors by (1‑2). Their last away match was for the Club Friendlies and ended in a loss by (1‑0) against Unión Santa Fe. In the last 6 away league matches Quilmes has a record of 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Quilmes has been performing below the expected level in the Argentine Championship and is in the lower half of the qualifying table with 39% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that it is already 5 points from the qualifying zone for the next South American Cup, so it's important to start scoring more regularly so they do not get further and further away from the continental competition spot. The team scored just 12 goals, being the fifth worst attack of the national, and suffered 22 goals, having the fourth defense more leaked and these figures demonstrate that it is necessary to adjust both in the offensive system as in the defensive, since the attack scores few goals and the defense has been leaked regularly. Playing away from home, as the match that will make this Saturday, Quilmes has only 14% and averages of 0.57 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded, once again showing the serious problems both in attack and defense. In the overall competition, counting the games at home and away, the team tends to be more efficient offensively in the first half, since 7 of their 12 goals happened in the first stage, especially between the 15 and 30 minutes where 5 goals occurred.

Confirmed Lineup: Cesar Rigamonti, Diego Colotto, Matías Pérez Acuña, Matías Sarulyte, Matias Orihuela, Horacio Ramírez, Brandon Obregón, Adrián Calello, Maximiliano Gonzalez, Nicolas Da Campo, Nicolás Benegas.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the San Lorenzo vs Quilmes match, on 25 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: San Lorenzo wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The San Lorenzo vs Quilmes on 25 March 2017 will be played at Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires, Estadio Pedro Bidegaín.

 

Primera División - 2016/2017

  • 100% 450 / 450 Games

  • Home team wins 44.22%
  • Draws 26.44%
  • Away team wins 29.33%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 41.33%
  • Over 3.5 18%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.28
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 44.67%
  • Goals after 80' 17.58%
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