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Independiente Vélez Sarsfield betting prediction


Preview
Independiente and Vélez Sarsfield face at Estadio Libertadores de América, in a match for the 18th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 09‑11‑2015, for the Primera División, Independiente won by (1‑0). D. Rodríguez (90' ) scored the only goal of the match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Independiente

After 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 11th position, havinf won 23 points so far. In the last match, they have tied at home against San Martín San Juan by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Banfield. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in away matches; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. For the league, Independiente won 9 points out of 24 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the last 8 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (5 out of 8 matches). 7 of their last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Independiente has been doing a medium campaign in the Argentinean championship and is in the middle part of the classification table, so much that if they have pretensions to evolve within the competition it is important to win at home. The team knows that they will face an opponent that is going through a moment well below to theirs, so in front of Vélez Sarsfield only the three points are of interest, even more that they will play under their dominions. For this match Coach Gabriel Milito cannot count on Leandro Fernández who is injured.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Campaña, F. Bustos, J. Sánchez, J. Figal, A. Franco, N. Domínguez, W. Erviti, M. Meza, E. Rigoni, E. Gigliotti, L. Albertengo.

Analysis of Vélez Sarsfield

The away team is currently in the 23th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Estudiantes, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Newell's Old Boys, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 7 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Vélez Sarsfield has a record of 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 2‑0 (4 out of 9 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 16 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 3 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Vélez Sarsfield does not come very well in the Argentine championship and is closer to the last placed than the clubs that are in the zone of the South American Cup, so if they want to react it is of extreme importance to score outside the house. On the other hand, they will face Independiente, the team that comes better in the competition, so they know they will face a lot of difficulties, so if they can get a tie, they cannot complain. For this match Coach Omar De Felippe should not have absences due to injury or expulsion.

Confirmed Lineup: F. Assmann, M. Caire, B. Cufré, C. Nasuti, H. Canteros, F. Cubero, D. Zabala, L. Desábato, G. Díaz, J. Martínez, M. Pavone.

Betting suggestion:

Independiente has a team of better technical quality than the opponent and by playing in their territory, in front of their fans, the tendency is to confirm their favoritism on the field and win the confrontation. Based on the mentioned factors, we believe that a commitment to the victory of the hosts is of great value. This betting suggestion has expired...
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Frequently asked questions

👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Independiente Vélez Sarsfield match?

The tip and bet suggestion for the Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield match, on 31 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Canada, goes to: Independiente wins ⇒ odd 1.90 at bet365.

👉 In which stadium will the Independiente Vélez Sarsfield be played?

The Independiente vs Vélez Sarsfield on 31 March 2017 will be played at Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires, Estadio Libertadores de América.

 

Primera División - 2016/2017

  • 100% 450 / 450 Games

  • Home team wins 44.22%
  • Draws 26.44%
  • Away team wins 29.33%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 41.33%
  • Over 3.5 18%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.28
  • Goals /match home 1.25
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 44.67%
  • Goals after 80' 17.58%
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